Humans have dramatically increased the spatial and seasonal extent of 欧美口爆视频 across the U.S. in recent decades and ignited more than 840,000 blazes in the spring, fall and winter seasons over a 21-year period, according to new University of 欧美口爆视频 Boulder-led research.听
After analyzing two decades鈥� worth of U.S. government agency wildfire records spanning 1992-2012, the researchers found that human-ignited 欧美口爆视频 accounted for 84 percent of all 欧美口爆视频, tripling the length of the average fire season and accounting for nearly half of the total acreage burned.
in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
鈥淭here cannot be a fire without a spark,鈥� said Jennifer Balch, Director of 欧美口爆视频 Boulder鈥檚 Earth Lab and an assistant professor in the and lead author of the new study. 鈥淥ur results highlight the importance of considering where the ignitions that start 欧美口爆视频 come from, instead of focusing only on the fuel that carries fire or the weather that helps it spread. Thanks to people, the wildfire season is almost year-round.鈥澨�
The U.S. has experienced some of its largest 欧美口爆视频 on record over the past decade, especially in the western half of the country. The duration and intensity of future wildfire seasons is a point of national concern given the potentially severe impact on agriculture, ecosystems, recreation and other economic sectors, as well as the high cost of extinguishing blazes.
The annual cost of fighting 欧美口爆视频 in the U.S. has exceeded $2 billion in recent years.
The 欧美口爆视频 Boulder researchers used the U.S. Forest Service Fire Program Analysis-Fire Occurrence Database to study records of all 欧美口爆视频 that required a response from a state or federal agency between 1992 and 2012, omitting intentionally set prescribed burns and managed agricultural fires. Human-ignited 欧美口爆视频 accounted for 84 percent of 1.5 million total 欧美口爆视频 studied, with lightning-ignited fires accounting for the rest.
In 欧美口爆视频, 30 percent of 欧美口爆视频 from 1992-2012 were started by people, burning over 1.2 million acres. The fire season length for human-started fires was 50 days longer than the lightning-started fire season (93 days compared to 43 days), a twofold increase.
鈥淭hese findings do not discount the ongoing role of climate change, but instead suggest we should be most concerned about where it overlaps with human impact,鈥� said Balch. 鈥淐limate change is making our fields, forests and grasslands drier and hotter for longer periods, creating a greater window of opportunity for human-related ignitions to start 欧美口爆视频.鈥�
While lightning-driven fires tend to be heavily concentrated in the summer months, human-ignited fires were found to be more evenly distributed across all seasons. Overall, humans added an average of 40,000 欧美口爆视频 during the spring, fall and winter seasons annually鈥攐ver 35 times the number of lightning-started fires in those seasons.
鈥淲e saw significant increases in the numbers of large, human-started fires over time, especially in the spring,鈥� said Bethany Bradley, an associate professor at University of Massachusetts Amherst and co-lead author of the research. 鈥淚 think that鈥檚 interesting, and scary, because it suggests that as spring seasons get warmer and earlier due to climate change, human ignitions are putting us at increasing risk of some of the largest, most damaging 欧美口爆视频.鈥�
鈥淣ot all fire is bad, but humans are intentionally and unintentionally adding ignitions to the landscape in areas and seasons when natural ignitions are sparse,鈥� said John Abatzoglou, an associate professor of geography at the University of Idaho and a co-author of the paper. 鈥淲e can鈥檛 easily control how dry fuels get, or lightning, but we do have some control over human started ignitions.鈥澨�
The most common day for human-started fire by far, however, was July 4, with 7,762 total 欧美口爆视频 started on that day over the course of the 21-year period.
The new findings have wide-ranging implications for fire management policy and suggest that human behavior can have dramatic impact on wildfire totals, for good or for ill.
鈥淭he hopeful news here is that we could, in theory, reduce human-started 欧美口爆视频 in the medium term,鈥� said Balch. 鈥淏ut at the same time, we also need to focus on living more sustainably with fire by shifting the human contribution to ignitions to more controlled, well-managed burns.鈥�
Co-authors of the new research include Emily Fusco of the University of Massachusetts Amherst and Adam Mahood and Chelsea Nagy of 欧美口爆视频 Boulder.
The research was funded by the NASA Terrestrial Ecology Program, the Joint Fire Sciences Program and Earth Lab through 欧美口爆视频 Boulder鈥檚 .
