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Institutional Drivers of Adaptation in Local Government Decision Making: Evidence from Chile. Climatic Change.

Valdivieso, P.E., Andersson, K.P., Villena-Roldan, B. 2017.

Abstract:

We study how the local institutional context shapes local government decisions about responses to perceived threats of natural disasters and climatic change. We draw on institutional theories and field observations to develop hypotheses about the effects of municipal institutional arrangements, social capital, and multilevel governance. To test these ideas, we analyze a unique data set with over-time observations for almost all local governments in Chile. Our analysis shows multiple institutional conditions supporting proactive local adaptation: municipalities with relatively robust institutional settings tend to devote more resources for to environmental risk management and adaptation. We use our quantitative model to show that altering institutional arrangements settings can make a difference for increasing local government investments in this area. Although few local governments in Chile currently enjoy favorable institutional conditions for risk reduction and adaptation, our findings identify ways that external actors may contribute to a more propitious institutional climate.